SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $21.51 ↑ 3.8% 5th %ile (extreme_greed) • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 5th in 90d range | Regime: extreme_greed

Why it matters

Volatility at 5th percentile signals extreme greed, while Kalshi odds imply 4% Nasdaq-100 year-end range probability.

Sources

futures